HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- After a warm and humid day across Southeast Texas with a few light showers, some areas could see strong thunderstorms late Sunday night.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 1 a.m. for Brazos, Grimes, Madison, Trinity, Walker and Washington counties. Isolated strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail, heavy rainfall and damaging winds could develop and impact the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods areas late Sunday night. Hail from quarter up to golf ball size is the biggest concern, as well as locally heavy rains.
Isolated storms will track into the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods areas late Sunday night. As these storms drift closer to the coast across Southeast Texas, they are expected to weaken and fizzle out before reaching Houston. These storms are moving into an environment that isn't as favorable for thunderstorms. There is the small chance one or two could hold together, where thunder, lightning, heavy rain and small hail could be concerns tonight. Generally though, the severe risk outside of counties within the Watch is very low.
These storms are developing along a weak cool front that will also move from north to south across Southeast Texas, bringing a few light showers early Monday morning. That front won't do much for temperatures though. Morning lows Monday will start in the mid 60s and rise back into the low-mid 80s Monday afternoon under a partly cloudy sky.
There is! Looking ahead to later in the week, another system could bring scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday with small rain chances for the weekend too. And this time, it does appear that this pattern could produce more heavy, soaking downpours for areas that receive rain.
Many of our counties west of I-45 and along the gulf are now included in the latest statewide drought map. Many coastal counties are now seeing abnormally dry soils with areas long the Brazos River even seeing more moderate drought conditions. It's around Matagorda Bay though who has more serious drought concerns at this point with a severe drought there. And with the drier and warmer forecast expected over the next two weeks, drought conditions could begin to become more of a concern for the Houston area too. It's been two weeks since the city, and much of the region, has seen measurable rainfall.
We currently have no 90 degrees in our forecast, but there are plenty of mid 80s highs predicted over the next 10 days. Even in the upper 80s on Tuesday! Spring weather is here, and we usually start hitting 90 on a regular basis in May.
13 ALERT RADAR MAPS:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County
Galveston County
Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties
Brazoria/Matagorda Counties
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