Crews hurry to plug well after Bonnie breezes by
NEW ORLEANS, LA
But with peak hurricane season starting in early August, chances
are the next big storm is right on Bonnie's heels.
"We're going to be playing a cat-and-mouse game for the
remainder of the hurricane season," retired Coast Guard Admiral
Thad Allen said Saturday. Sure enough, another disturbance already
was brewing in the Caribbean, although forecasters said it wasn't
likely to strengthen into a tropical storm.
In the past 10 years, an average of five named storms have hit
the Gulf each hurricane season. This year, two have struck already
-- Bonnie and Hurricane Alex at the end of June, which delayed
cleanup of BP's massive oil spill for a week even though it didn't
get closer than 500 miles from the well.
"Usually you don't see the first hurricane statistically until
Aug. 10," said Dennis Feltgen, a spokesman for the National
Hurricane Center in Miami. "The 2010 hurricane season is running
just ahead of a typical pace."
Bonnie pushed back efforts to solidly seal the well by at least
a week, said Allen, the government's point man on the spill and a
veteran of the Coast Guard's rescue mission after Hurricane
Katrina.
Completion now looks possible by mid-August, but Allen said he
wouldn't hesitate to order another evacuation based on similar
forecasts.
"We have no choice but to start well ahead of time if we think
the storm track is going to bring gale force winds, which are 39
mph or above, anywhere close to well site," Allen said.
Hurricane season ends Nov. 30.
Even though the evacuation turned out to be short-lived, it
revealed one important fact: BP and the federal government are very
confident in the temporary plug that has mostly contained the oil
for eight days.
They didn't loose the cap even when they thought they'd lose
sight of it during the evacuation, although in the end, the
real-time cameras that have given the world a constant view of the
ruptured well apparently never stopped rolling.
Ironically, the storm may even have a positive effect. Churning
waters could actually help dissipate oil in the water, spreading
out the surface slick and breaking up tar balls, said Jane
Lubchenco, leader of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration.
Beaches may look cleaner in some areas as the storm surge pulls
oil away, though other areas could see oil washed ashore.
"I think the bottom line is it's better than it might have
been," Lubchenco said.
Still, the storm has hurt the operation. Work on the relief
tunnel stopped Wednesday, and it will take time to restart.
The rig drilling the relief tunnel that will blast mud into the
broken well to permanently seal it started steaming back toward the
well on Saturday morning.
Workers who spent Thursday and Friday pulling nearly a mile of
segmented steel pipe out of the water and stacking the 40-to-50
foot sections on deck will now have to reverse the process, and it
will likely be Monday before BP can resume drilling.
By Wednesday, workers finish installing steel casing to fortify
the relief shaft, Allen said, and by Friday, crews might start
blasting in heavy mud and cement through the mechanical cap, the
first phase of a two-step process to seal the well for good. That
could kill the well right away, but BP will still finish drilling
the relief tunnel -- which could take up to a week -- to pump in more
mud and cement from nearly two miles under the sea floor.
But the clear weather may not hold for long, said Joe Bastardi,
Accuweather's chief meteorologist of State College, Pa.
"From what I'm seeing in the tropics, it's like a pot boiling
and the lid's going to blow off," Bastardi said.