A summer-like Father's Day with a tropical pattern taking over next week

Low rain chance for Dad, but heavy tropical rains arrive next week
Low rain chance for Dad, but heavy tropical rains arrive next week

HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- While Father's brings a warm and mostly dry day, we've still got you on "Weather Watch" Tuesday and Wednesday as tropical downpours stream in from the Gulf of Mexico.

Father's Day will start out bright and sunny, but clouds will develop into the afternoon and some could hold some rainfall as well. Isolated showers and storms are possible into the early evening, though most will stay dry Sunday with rain chances at just 20%. High temperature Sunday afternoon will be in the low 90s with a heat index near 100 degrees.

What's happening in the tropics?

We are monitoring a potential tropical development in the southwest Gulf of Mexico over the Bay of Campeche for early this week. Tropical moisture flowing around that system is expected to move into Texas beginning Monday, increasing our chances for heavy rainfall and street flooding. There will also be a steady flow of strong southeasterly winds that will likely lead to dangerous rip currents, high seas, and coastal flooding as well. We've now got you on "Weather Watch" Tuesday and Wednesday when we expect the majority of our local impacts from this tropical weather system. For more on that, head to our Daily Tropical Weather Update page.

Any potential impacts I should expect with that tropical rainfall?

Rounds of moderate to heavy rain will begin to move through Southeast Texas from the gulf Monday, but it's Tuesday and Wednesday when the heaviest rain could fall. The coast will take the brunt of this tropical pattern with potential 5-8 inches of rain plus falling next week. Winds could also gust up to 30 mph at times, leading to high season, strong rip current and coastal flooding. Farther north Houston and Harris County could pick up 2 to 5 inches of rain next week with higher totals south of I-10, then around 1 to 3 inches of rain for our northern and western counties.

Keep in mind the latest on the tropics can be found here Daily Tropical Weather Update page.

13 ALERT RADAR MAPS:

Southeast Texas

Houston

Harris County

Galveston County

Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties

Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties

Brazoria/Matagorda Counties

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