Saharan haze moves out, heat remains with small rain chances returning in July

Tuesday, June 30, 2026 9:23AM
The heat remains with small rain chances for early July

HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- The Saharan haze moves out Tuesday and we're left with another hot day to round out the month of June. Rain chances climb into the long holiday weekend, but it's only about a 20-30% chance for daily downpours.

Temperatures Tuesday will start in the upper 70s or low 80s and quickly climb into the mid 90s once again today. We'll have a mix of sun and fair weather cumulus with abut a 20% chance for a passing shower. Most of Southeast Texas will remains dry Tuesday and Wednesday, so the main story is still the heat. Heat index values Tuesday afternoon will make it feel like 102 to 107 degrees outside at times.

Are we expecting any rain this week?

Yes! It'll be a dry end to June, a month that brought an end to much of the drought conditions across Southeast Texas. Later this week we'll see the return of the gulf breeze which will allow for about a 20 to 30% chance for daily showers and storms. These are those daily downpours that could bring thunder, lightning and brief heavy rainfall in the afternoon and early evening hours.

What is the early weather outlook for July 4th?

It's looking like a fairly typical summer day with a low in the mid-upper 70s, a high in the low-mid 90s and a 30% chance of a shower or storm popping up, mainly in the afternoon. The heat index Saturday will also make it feel like 106 outside during the afternoon. In this type of pattern where the storm chance is driven by the heat of the day, we are usually rain-free for the evening, so we expect firework shows will be a go!

What are you tracking in the tropics?

With the large plume of thick Saharan dust moving through the Gulf Coast early this week and there's a region to watch off the east coast of the Carolinas. Visit our Tropical Update page for a more in-depth tropical weather discussion and forecast.

13 ALERT RADAR MAPS:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County
Galveston County
Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties
Brazoria/Matagorda Counties

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