Gulf breeze cranks up, storm chances return to Houston next week

Sunday, May 17, 2026 2:13AM
Gulf breeze cranks up, storm chances return to Houston next week

HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- Get ready for that humid Gulf air to make a big come back in the days ahead. Strong onshore winds will pump up the humidity, setting the stage for multiple rain chances next week.

Winds out of the south and southeast continue gradually building the humidity across southeast Texas, and it will also lead to a high risk of rip currents on Gulf-facing beaches. Keep that in mind if you plan on spending time at any of our local beaches this weekend. There's also the risk for minor coastal flooding with high tides of 2 to 4 feet.

Saturday evening temperatures will fall from the mid-upper 80s to mid 70s overnight as higher humidity levels creep back into Southeast Texas. Sunday will feature a partly to mostly cloudy sky with a warm afternoon in the mid-upper 80s once again. Winds will be just as gusty too, out of the southeast at about 20-25 mph.

When does the moisture surge back in?

You'll really feel the humidity going up by Sunday as that Gulf breeze gets even stronger. The rise in moisture levels will also bring small chances of rain into the forecast over the weekend. This will provide a 20% chance for rain Sunday.

What's the latest on rain chances next week?

Multiple jet stream disturbances will track overhead next week bringing more widespread rainfall to Southeast Texas. These disturbances are difficult to time out more than 24 hours in advance, so rain chances are still a bit uncertain. For now we have rain chances at 40% to 70% for most of the work week with the highest chance coming on Wednesday. That's when a weak front looks to slide under the jet stream and stall out nearby. Some of the storms could be strong-to-severe early in the week due to the unstable air, then we may see more of a street flooding risk materialize later in the week as the ground becomes saturated.

How much rain are we talking for next week?

With several rounds of rain in the forecast next week and possibly into Memorial Day weekend, portions of Southeast Texas could easily pick up around 1 to 3 inches of rain with some spots receiving upwards of 5 to 6 inches when all is said and done.

13 ALERT RADAR MAPS:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County
Galveston County
Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties
Brazoria/Matagorda Counties

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