Researchers William Gray and Phil Klotzbach earlier predicted an above-average season with 14 named storms -- seven of them hurricanes and three major.
Gray said Tuesday the forecast was dialed down because of improved chances of El Nino conditions that suppress hurricane formation.
This is Gray's 26th year of forecasting hurricanes.
His predictions are watched closely by emergency responders and others but critics say such long-range forecasts have little practical value beyond focusing public attention on the danger.
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